Results from a demonstration dataset of 4,402 recorded head-motion events in elite women's ice hockey — presented here as reported, with methods and limitations alongside.
Principal component analysis on the full dataset (n = 4,402) quantified how many independent dimensions each feature set actually contains.
The first component alone explains 76.3% of variance. High collinearity among peak-magnitude measures means this feature set is effectively one-dimensional — a ranking of events by intensity, and nothing more.
The first component explains 25.0% of variance; the first two together, 38.3%. Variance is distributed across multiple independent mechanical dimensions rather than concentrated in one.
More than half the information in the IFS structural representation cannot be recovered from any linear combination of peak metrics. This is read as an indicator of non-redundant information content — not proof of causal independence — and it means the two representations are mutually non-predictive: neither can be reconstructed from the other.
Projected onto their first two principal components, the traditional feature space showed substantial overlap between on-ice events (n=367) and off-ice events — on-bench, warm-up, intermission, post-game (n=4,035) — with no clear spatial boundary. The IFS structural space showed a partially different organization, with on-ice events occupying a more distinct region.
Linear discriminant analysis with stratified five-fold cross-validation quantified this numerically:
| Feature set | Balanced accuracy | Sensitivity | ROC-AUC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peak kinematic (traditional) | 50.0% | 0.0% | 64.8% |
| IFS structural | 59.0% | — | 82.2% |
Class imbalance 11.0:1 (n = 4,402). Zero sensitivity for the traditional set reflects that a single-dimension feature space cannot separate classes that vary across multiple mechanical dimensions.
Mann–Whitney U tests across the full dataset identified IFS structural measures with large, mechanically interpretable differences between on-ice and off-ice events.
| Measure | On-ice (median) | Off-ice (median) | Effect size |rbc| |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linear acceleration kurtosis | 6.07 | 8.50 | 0.348 |
| Waveform skewness | 1.88 | 2.37 | 0.340 |
| Duration above 10% of peak | 54 ms | 44 ms | 0.208 |
| Rotational-to-linear peak ratio | 6.89 | 4.94 | 0.191 |
All p < 0.001. On-ice events show lower kurtosis and skewness — wider, more symmetrical waveforms than the narrow, highly peaked transients typical of off-ice events — plus longer sustained loading and stronger rotational–translational coupling. Offered as a mechanistic illustration, not an exhaustive analysis: sustained impacts transmitted through mass and tissue produce extended temporal and mechanical complexity, while sensor disturbances produce brief, rotationally uninformative transients.
Restricted to gameplay periods only — on-ice (n=367) vs. bench-seated (n=294), both within the same time frame and both above the detection threshold — so classification necessarily reflects waveform structure, not timing.
| Feature set | Balanced acc. | ROC-AUC (RF) | ROC-AUC (HGB) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peak metrics (6 var.) | 53.2% ±3.1 | 53.0% | 55.9% |
| IFS (111 var.) | 67.4% ±3.5 | 74.2% | 73.2% |
| Combined (117 var.) | — | 74.0% | 73.5% |
IFS variables were entered without task-specific feature selection or tuning. Combining feature sets added no discriminative power over IFS alone — consistent with orthogonality: peak metrics carry no information IFS doesn't already contain for this task. Of the top 20 features by importance in the combined model, all 20 came from the IFS set: waveform kurtosis, vibration clearance, phase decay time, spectral entropy, and VBA rotational path length ranked highest.
Signals sampled at 1000 Hz, angular velocity low-pass filtered (4th-order Butterworth, 165 Hz cutoff). PCA on standardized variables; orthogonality computed as residual variance after projecting IFS variables onto the traditional principal-component space. Random forest (300 trees) and histogram gradient boosting classifiers, stratified 5-fold cross-validation, balanced class weights. Python 3.12, scikit-learn 1.4, SciPy 1.13.
Demonstration data come from two Finnish women's ice-hockey teams over 19 matches; generalizability to other sports, populations, or levels of play falls outside the current work. No injury-outcome data were available, so no relationship between IFS structural features and injury was — or could be — examined here. The feature set was designed for this sensor system and mastoid placement, and needs independent validation for other systems.
Exploratory, unpublished thinking on other sports and applications — clearly marked as hypothesis, not evidence.